Support & Resistance Lines
By now you are probably getting a good idea of how to read technical charts and interpret the data that is presented on them. The analyses of these charts is critical when it comes to binary options trading because in order to make successful trades you need to correctly predict which way the price of an asset will stay trending or reverse itself. That is what profitable trades all come down too. One of the biggest areas of concern when it comes to placing a trade, is when the price of an asset gets close to a support or resistance line on a technical chart. So it’s important to learn all about these critical support and resistance lines.
Why is it when the price of an asset gets near them that we have to be careful? It’s because these support lines consist of statistical highs and lows of an asset. That means that most likely the current trend will not got past the line of support or resistance and the trend is about to reverse itself. A trade made here based on thinking that the trend will break through the resistance or support line is a very risky one indeed.
So you really have to be very aware what these two lines represent and the normal reaction of price when it gets close to them. It is all part of being able to predict price activity accurately. Most technical analysis is concerned with being able to see a chart to accurately predict price activity. Support and resistance lines form one of the most basic analysis tools for being able to do this. These lines help to show and prove where market sympathy is centered at the moment.
An area of support is where the trending of a particular asset stops going down; it’s held up so to speak, hence the term support line. Since the price trend is ‘resting’, you as the trader must now figure out if it will resume its current trend once its rest period is over, or if the trend will reverse itself.
The resistance line is just the opposite of support. It is at the upper end of the chart and puts pressure on the asset price to keep it from going higher. The asset price you could say has hit a ceiling temporarily.
How to Draw these Lines
Figuring out how support lines are drawn is pretty easy. You just need to connect the most recent lows to each other to draw the support line and connect the most recent highs together to draw the resistance line for the same time period. To verify support or resistance it is best to confirm it by waiting for at least three failed attempts to break through it.
Trading Strategy One
Buying of assets usually takes place near the support line and selling of assets usually takes place near the resistance line. Strong resistance or support usually confirms that the price has trended long enough in one direction and is ready to reverse itself. This is a trading model that has been used successfully over and over again.
You may be thinking this sounds too easy, and you are right. When it comes to asset price they can and do break through the support and resistance lines more often than one would think. So the trend reversal, although likely, is by no means a given. It is also important when a support or resistance line has been broken that you realize you have a change in character that is very unpredictable now. It changes the support and resistance lines completely.
At this this time you need to redraw the support and resistance lines and assess how strong they are in order to confidently place a trade on that asset.
How to Accurately Identify Strength and Weakness
The more often the support and resistance lines are approached by the trend of an asset price without being broken, is how you can tell that either the support or resistance is strong. Again the three touch rule is a strong indicator and can be used as a favorable entry point. The longer the time frame that this happens over, the stronger the confirmation is. Other means of chart analysis, such as Bollinger bands or certain candles, will need to be considered too when you become more experienced at reading charts.
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References and Further Reading:
1. Foreign Exchange Market Microstructure and the WM/Reuters 4pm Fix (PS Michelberger, JH Witte – 2015)
2. Factors affecting Currency Exchange Rate, Economical Formulas and Prediction Models (PJ Patel, NJ Patel, AR Patel – 2014)
4. Currency Trading Methods and Mathematical Models (G Mutanov – 2015)
5. A Primer on Social Trading–Remuneration Schemes, Trading Strategies and Return Characteristics (S Neumann, S Paul, P Doering – 2014)
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